Lately, many of us have transitioned from engaging in live poker at casinos and home games to online poker .
There’s a lot to explore when comparing the aspects of online poker with live play.
These distinctions encompass factors such as the timing of when you can head to bed after a session, among various other considerations.
- Physical tells
- The possibility of collusion
- What you wear when playing
- Yet, one of the most intriguing, if not essential, differences centers around bet sizing.
Making the Right Betting Decision – The Problem of Incorrect Bet Sizing
occurs when players frequently miscalculate the number of chips they should be placing in the pot. Consequently, even if their decisions about whether to bet are sound , the sizes of their bets are misguided.
One of the greatest weaknesses of inexperienced players In some instances, online poker can offer an easier path for these players. It allows them to make reasonably informed, albeit not optimal choices in their betting amounts. Most online platforms feature buttons labeled with options such as “1/2 pot.”
These buttons serve as a shortcut for the thought process surrounding bet sizing.
- They create an opportunity for even less analytical players to reduce their error rates.
- Conversely, in live games, proficient players tend to keep a close eye on the pot size and invest genuine effort into considering their bets.
In stark contrast, weaker players often make bets that do not align with their objectives. bet sizing Frequent miscalculations include actions such as –
Bets that are insufficient to deter drawing hands,
- Wagers that are excessively high, thereby risking more chips than necessary.
- Let’s examine an instance to highlight the impact that bet sizing can have on overall outcomes.
The impact cannot be overstated.
How Bet Sizing Affects Results
I will presume that the effective stack sizes are 600 big blinds (BB) .
While this may not be the norm, it's a conditional assumption essential for illustrating my point.
Additionally, we will overlook variations in player strategy based on stack sizes (refer to –
Suppose, in a cash game, Player A positioned on the button holds the following starting hand: link to my last article ).
Player B in a middle position has a pair of nines:
And Player C, under the gun, holds an ace-king:
This scenario, while specific, is a common occurrence in gameplay.
My focus will be on the various final pot sizes resulting from disparate decisions regarding
. I will keep numerous other elements static, acknowledging that this creates a somewhat artificial situation. bet sizing In this scenario, let's say the flop reveals the following:
Now, let's analyze three distinct bet sizing approaches. We'll maintain the same logical actions concerning betting, raising, and folding.
The turn is a two of clubs:
And the river is an eight of diamonds:
The purpose of this example is to demonstrate how varying bet sizes can produce drastically different outcomes, even if all players navigate the hand identically.
(Smaller bets might provoke raises and other strategic maneuvers, while larger bets might induce folds. For this discussion, we will assume that the actions remain unchanged.)
We will maintain consistent pre-flop bet sizes across all three examples. Bigger bets Player C, sitting under the gun with AK suited, opens with a raise of 3 big blinds.
Player A holding TJ suited, takes advantage of their position and favorable implied odds to call.
So, the action goes as follows:
- Pre-flop:
- Player A, possessing a gutshot and a flush draw, also opts to call.
- Player B, with 99 calls
- In this instance, the players place bets equivalent to about ¼ of the pot whenever they bet and employ min raises whenever they raise.
- On the flop:
- Player C with Top pair top kicker bets
- Player B with middle set calls
- Before the flop, the pot accumulates to 10.5 big blinds (BB).
- On the turn:
- Player C bets
- Player B raises
- Player A folds
- Player C calls
- On the river:
- Player C checks
- Player B bets
- Player C calls
Scenario 1 - Player B Bets Too Small
In this scenario, Player B emerges victorious with a pot totaling 59.5 big blinds. In a 5-10 game, this roughly translates to nearly $600 and a profit exceeding $300 .
- Flop:
- In this context, let’s assume that players wager ½ of the pot whenever betting and raise by 3x whenever they decide to increase the stakes.
- Player C bets 3 BB
- Player B calls
- Player A calls
- Pot is now 19.5 BB
- Turn:
- Player C bets 5 BB
- Player B raises to 10 BB
- Player A folds
- Player C calls
- Pot is now 39.5 BB
- River:
- Player C checks
- Player B bets 10 BB
- Player C calls
In doing so, Player B concludes with a pot of 224.5 big blinds. In a 5-10 game, this amounts to just over $2,200 and a profit just shy of $1,100 .
Scenario 2 – Standard Bets
In another example, we will suggest that players go with full pot bets whenever putting money in and raise by 4x while escalating the stakes.
- Flop:
- In this context, let’s assume that players wager ½ of the pot whenever betting and raise by 3x whenever they decide to increase the stakes.
- Player C bets 6 BB
- Player B calls
- Player A calls
- Pot is now 28.5 BB
- Turn:
- Player C bets 14 BB
- Player B raises to 42 BB
- Player A folds
- Player C calls
- Pot is now 112.5 BB
- River:
- Player C checks
- Player B bets 56 BB
- Player C calls
In this case, Player B takes down a pot measuring 1,187.5 big blinds. In a 5-10 game, this is nearly $12,000, resulting in a profit exceeding $6,000 .
Scenario 2 – The Players Bet Big
In a described 5-10 game scenario, where starting stacks are $6k, the ensuing results are as follows:
- Flop:
- In this context, let’s assume that players wager ½ of the pot whenever betting and raise by 3x whenever they decide to increase the stakes.
- Player C bets 11 BB
- Player B calls 11 BB
- Player A calls 11 BB
- Pot is now 43.5 BB
- Turn:
- Player C bets 44 BB
- Player B raises to 176 BB
- Player A folds
- Player C calls
- Pot is now 395.5 BB
- River:
- Player C checks
- Player B bets 396 BB
- Player C calls 396 BB
When the bets amount to ¼ of the pot and raises are 2x , Player B achieves a win of around $300 .
Bet Sizing Recap
Bet Sizing for Beginners
With bets being ½ of the pot and raises rounding up to 3x , Player B's winnings adjust to approximately $1,100 .
- As for pot-sized bets accompanied by raises at 4x , Player B's win climbs to about $6,000 .
- It’s essential to acknowledge that various elements impacting gameplay are being disregarded in this analysis.
- For instance, the size of a bet can significantly influence the flow of the game.
Moreover, a skilled player might find a way to fold AK based on the turn raise's context.
- Nevertheless, the primary objective of this exploration is to underline the significant influence that bet sizing can have on the eventual
- Also, the river bet might be all-in.
- . This phenomenon is especially evident in multi-way hands that progress to showdown.
The pot grows exponentially in the final rounds of betting. Transitioning from ¼ pot bets to ½ pot bets and increasing from 2x to 3x raises nearly quadruples the profit generated in the hand. pot size Furthermore, a simple switch from half pot to full pot betting while elevating raises from 2x to 4x can multiply the profit by 20.
Interestingly, even minor tweaks in bet sizing can lead to significant changes in profit from a hand, regardless of other variables that may shape the hand's progression.
Instead of merely clicking the ½ pot button, consider asking yourself these key questions:
When value betting, what is the maximum amount your opponents might call?
Bet Sizing Questions
If other players are involved, how can I maximize value while ensuring I keep them engaged and prevent them from drawing?
Am I value betting or bluffing?
- Am I required to place larger bets because multiple players are still in the hand?
- When attempting to bluff, what is the minimum bet that will provoke a fold?
- One point worth contemplating is if you should adjust your bets depending on the circumstances.
- If all your value bets are on the smaller side while your bluffs are significantly larger, players will easily read your strategy.
Alternatively, if all your bets maintain a uniform size (relative to the pot), you might encounter challenges like the following:
Don’t forget to consider your opponent's perspective and how they might perceive your bet sizing.
- Additionally, pay attention to how your opponents size their bets. If they consistently hit the ½ button for every wager, you'll need other data points to assess their potential holdings.
- Miss out on value
- Risk more chips than necessary
- Fail to fold out better hands
Transitioning back to live poker presents a substantial advantage to those players who thoughtfully consider their bet sizing. They can keep a mental tally of the pot size as the hand unfolds.
Less skilled players often forfeit potential earnings when value betting, and their bluffs may either lack effectiveness or risk excessive chips. Moreover, their bets often stray from any meaningful relation to the pot size.
In conclusion, when engaging in live poker, always strive to maintain awareness of the pot amount.
Practice your mental math when not in a hand so that it becomes second nature.
Bet Sizing Summary
Before making a bet or raising, take a moment to carefully contemplate your specific objectives.
- A significant flaw that novice players often exhibit is improper bet sizing. At 888poker, they analyze the right moments and circumstances for making a bet.
- Understanding Bet Sizing: A Key to Winning Larger Pots Over Time!
- Lately, many players have transitioned from in-person games at casinos and homes to online platforms.
There is much to discuss regarding the contrasts between online and live gameplay.